Colon goes for Yanks north of the border
Baseball Betting Lines
09/17/2011 -
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Bartolo Colon tries for his first win in eight starts this
afternoon when the New York Yankees continue a three-game series with the
Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre.
Colon did not get a decision last Friday against the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim, but was terrific, as he allowed just an unearned run and six hits in
seven innings of a 2-1 loss.
"Every time I pitch, I try to go more than seven innings," Colon said through
an interpreter. "That's my goal. That's what I'm always thinking about."
Still, he hasn't won since July 30 and is 8-9 on the year with a 3.55 earned
run average.
"He had really good late movement on his fastball, and that's when he's really
good," catcher Russell Martin said. "He was locating that pitch really well.
He looked as good as he has all year today."
Colon has faced the Jays 22 times and is 9-5 against them with a 4.09 ERA.
Toronto, meanwhile, will counter with right-handed rookie Henderson Alvarez,
who is 1-2 with a 3.09 ERA. Alvarez did not get a decision last Saturday
against Baltimore, as he allowed three runs and nine hits in seven innings of
a 5-4 win.
Alvarez, who will be making his first appearance against the Yanks, had not
allowed a run in 14 innings of his two previous starts.
The Yankees' recent road woes continued on Friday, as Jose Molina hit a game-
winning, RBI single in the bottom of the ninth inning to vault the Blue Jays
to a 5-4 win.
Boone Logan (5-3) allowed an Adam Lind leadoff double and intentionally walked
Brett Lawrie before Cory Wade came on in relief. Molina, who entered the game
as a defensive replacement in the ninth, belted a 1-1 fastball into the right-
center gap to plate the winning run.
Casey Janssen (5-0) tossed two innings of scoreless relief for the Blue Jays,
who have won seven of 10.
Eric Chavez hit a two-run homer and Nick Swisher went 2-for-4 with two RBI for
the Yankees, who saw their lead over Boston for first place in the AL East
fall to 3 1/2 games, as the Red Sox beat the Rays on Friday night.
The Yanks are now 3-5 on this current 10-game road trip.
New York starter CC Sabathia, seeking his 20th win of the season, allowed four
runs on 10 hits over 5 2/3 innings in the no-decision.
"They made him work," said Yankees manager Joe Girardi. "I didn't think his
command tonight was as great as it's been.
Yankees' closer Mariano Rivera also remained stuck on 600 saves and enters
tonight's tilt one save shy of tying Trevor Hoffman's all-time record.
New York has won 10 of its 16 meetings with the Jays this season.
<< Hudson aims to get Braves back on track against Mets
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Tim Hudson leads the Braves in victories this season, and
more than ever Atlanta needs the veteran right-hander to be at his best this
afternoon.
Losers in five of their last seven and 10 of their previous 15 contests,
At
<< Strasburg leads Nats against visiting Marlins
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Second-year standout Stephen Strasburg makes the third
start of his post-surgery comeback tonight when the Washington Nationals host
the Florida Marlins in the middle game of a three-game series at Nationals
Park.
Strasbu
<< Astros, Cubs meet again at Wrigley
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Rookie right-hander Henry Sosa gets the first opportunity
to delay history for the Houston Astros today when they head to Wrigley Field
for the middle game of a three-game series with the Chicago Cubs.
Houston dropped Frid
<< Rangers seek bounce back at Safeco
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Texas Rangers wasted a chance at extending their lead
in the American League West on Friday. Today, they try to get back into the
win column when they continue a three-game set with the Seattle Mariners at
Safeco Field.
<< With division title behind them, Tigers continue set in Oakland
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Now that the Detroit Tigers have secured their first
division crown in 24 years their focus will shift to the best overall mark in
the American League this afternoon when they continue a four-game set with the
Oakland Athleti
Lester tries to stretch BoSox' wild card lead over Rays >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Josh Beckett eased a lot of minds in Boston on Friday. Jon
Lester will try to do the same this afternoon when the Boston Red Sox continue
a crucial four-game set with the Tampa Bay Rays at Fenway Park.
Boston stretched its
Indians, Twins resume set in Minneapolis >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jeanmar Gomez aims to win his fourth straight start when
the Indians resume their series against the Minnesota Twins this afternoon.
The 23-year-old right-hander has given up a total of three earned runs during
his winning
Westbrook toes rubber for Cards in Philly >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Philadelphia Phillies are on the verge of capturing
their fifth straight NL East title. The St. Louis Cardinals are hoping a late
season surge will get them back into the postseason after missing out last
year.
Coming
Gallardo, Brewers take on Reds >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Yovani Gallardo tied a career-high for strikeouts in his
most recent performance, fanning 12 over seven frames in a victory against the
Phillies on Sunday. Now the right-hander hopes to push the Brewers closer to
their first
Angels, Santana try to regroup in Baltimore >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Ervin Santana tries to put the brakes on a personal two-
game losing streak this evening when the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
continue a three-game series with the Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards.
After losing to Seatt
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The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.
"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."
Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.
"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."
When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:
CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.
DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.
PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.
You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.
"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."
Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.
(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)
Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."
But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."
Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."
Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."
All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.
In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.
"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."
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