Cubs should stop pretending they're contenders
Baseball Betting Lines
07/15/2010 -
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - It's been a typical summer along the North
Side of Chicago. The sun is shining, the bleachers and rooftops that surround
the incomparable Wrigley Field are packed to the gills, and the beer pours
endlessly from the watering holes neighboring one of the grand spectacles in
all of baseball.
October's going to have a familiar feeling for Cubs fans as well, with their
beloved and star-crossed club in the midst of yet another season of unmet
expectations. After losing three of four games to the Los Angeles Dodgers over
the weekend, Chicago limps into the All-Star break with a 39-50 record
completely unfitting of a team carrying the highest payroll in the National
League.
This current outfit, now 9 1/2 games back of the resurgent Cincinnati Reds for
first place in the NL Central, also bears little resemblance to the budding
juggernaut that won a league-best 97 times during the 2008 regular season. It
hasn't even been able to match the (under) achievements of last year's toxic
group that went 83-79 as the prohibitive favorites to repeat as division
champs.
A lack of clubhouse chemistry helped sabotage the 2009 squad, and this year's
Cubs have yet to find the right combination as well even after weeding out the
bad seeds -- namely combustible outfielder Milton Bradley -- during an
offseason house cleaning. Chicago has looked both lifeless and in decline for
the better part of the past 2 1/2 months, either too old or too disinterested
to make the run necessary to challenge the Reds and St. Louis for division
supremacy.
Even manager Lou Piniella, renowned for his intensity and passion to succeed,
seems to have lost some of his trademark fire. Makes you wonder if the
longtime skipper, who's in the final year of his contract, is ready to trade
in the grueling road trips and draining summer days of July and August for the
golf courses and shuffleboard tables many soon-to-be 67-year-olds are enjoying
these days.
Piniella may not be the only member of the organization with numbered days.
This season's performance has clearly put much-maligned general manager Jim
Hendry's fanny on the hot seat, especially since he wasn't hired by first-year
owner Tom Ricketts, while a host of high-priced veterans could be jettisoned
by the July 31 non-waiver trade deadline if the new regime chooses to slash
payroll and commit to a more youth-oriented movement.
For what it's worth, Ricketts did issue a public declaration of confidence for
his GM last week, just as the record should show that Hendry's two main
offseason moves have each paid off handsomely so far. He unloaded the
controversial Bradley to Seattle in exchange for pitcher Carlos Silva, who's
emerged as the club's most dependable starter, while free-agent acquisition
Marlon Byrd ranks among the NL's leading hitters and garnered his first career
All-Star selection with a terrific first half.
"I'm not going to assign blame to anyone or anything," Ricketts recently
stated. "The fact is when we came into the season, we had what appeared to be
a pretty strong lineup. It hasn't worked out for whatever reason."
Ricketts has a point. A powerful Chicago offense that topped the NL in runs
scored during the 2008 campaign no longer strikes fear in the hearts of
opposing pitchers, even with several core players still on the roster. The
Cubs entered the break 14th in the Senior Circuit in scoring and 13th in on-
base percentage, and were shut out for the sixth time in the past 22 games
after a 7-0 setback to the Dodgers on Sunday.
While the decision to become sellers should be an easy one, unloading some of
Chicago's pricey players figures to be a greater challenge. First baseman
Derrek Lee and third baseman Aramis Ramirez, both of whom have struggled
mightily as the expected middle-of-the-order anchors, will be tough to deal
due to hefty contracts that don't reflect their eroding skills. Same goes for
outfielder Kosuke Fukudome, one of Hendry's personnel missteps who's lost
substantial playing time to promising rookie Tyler Colvin in recent weeks.
Then there's the curious case of Carlos Zambrano, the Cubs' one-time ace
presently serving a team-issued suspension for a dugout blowup in late June.
The team would likely be thrilled to rid itself of the volatile right-hander,
but chances are the market's pretty dry for a pitcher with a 5.66 ERA and
obvious maturity issues who's still owed nearly $38 million over the next two
years.
Even Chicago's most attractive trade chip, left-hander Ted Lilly, has seen his
value plummet after getting roughed up for 16 runs and serving up five homers
in his final two starts before the All-Star break.
Laying the groundwork for a transition phase won't be an easy task for the
Cubs, nor will contending with a frustrated fan base that's endured a
lifetime's worth of heartache. But the last 1 1/2 years have proved that the
status quo simply isn't good enough for baseball's unluckiest franchise, and a
shakeup seems to be the only real recourse.
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Terre Haute, IN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Former University of Cincinnati football
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Miller said the transaction was official on his personal website.
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<< Red Wings re-sign D Meech
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Hurricanes to retire Brind'Amour's number >>
Raleigh, NC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Rod Brind'Amour will have his No. 17 jersey
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East Rutherford, NJ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The New Jersey Nets signed 2010 first-
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The Nets selected Favors with the third overall pick after the 6-foot-10, 246-
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Blue Jackets re-sign Sestito >>
Columbus, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Columbus Blue Jackets have re-signed
forward Tom Sestito to a one-year contract.
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Oilers sign D Peckham >>
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Peckham, 22, has played in 31 career NHL games with the Oilers, including a
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Michael Vick is back, Brett Favre isn't and the NFC East remains the best division in the NFC, maybe in all of football.
As players start to gather for the start of another season, some things change and some stay the same in the world of the NFL.
Bet 2010 Super Bowl Odds
The NFC East has been the dominant division in the National Conference for a while, despite limited playoff success, save for the New York Giants surprise Super Bowl win two seasons ago.
Hell, there's a generation of kids in Texas who have never seen the Cowboys win a playoff game (last win was in 1996).
But collectively, the Giants, Eagles, Cowboys and Redskins (well, maybe not so much the Redskins) are as good as a division gets in an NFC conference that has struggled to stay competitive with the AFC side.
Sports bettors have both acknowledged the NFC East's dominance, as one glance at the NFL future odds menu will show.
Looking over the NFL betting odds at online sports book MySportsbook.com we see the top three teams listed to win the NFC Championship are all from the NFC East:
Dallas Cowboys - 7 - 1
Philadelphia Eagles - 13 - 2
New York Giants - 9 - 2
Slotting in behind these three are two teams from the NFC North: the Minnesota Vikings (15-2) and the Chicago Bears (10-1).
Again, despite the lack of recent playoff success, the Dallas Cowboys are popular with the sports betting community, as they hold 14% of all the money wagered on who will win the NFC Championship.
So far, the New York Giants are the bettors' favorite to represent their conference in the Super Bowl, as they have 24% of the overall NFC Championship betting volume.
And what about the Philadelphia Eagles? For the most part, the Eagles had a very productive offseason, the kind that could bring them back to the top.
They had a good draft adding the likes of WR Jeremy Maclin and RB LeSean McCoy.
Unfortunately, the team received a blow when long-time defensive coordinator Jim Johnson passed away on Tuesday.
But this team will make a real run at the division title this year. Going into the regular season, Philly is listed at +240 to win the division.
Last season the Eagles were 9-6-1 SU and 10-6 ATS.
Teams from the NFC East will play teams from the AFC West in the regular season and the Eagles haven't really been a good bet in the last 20 games against the likes of San Diego, Oakland, K.C. and Denver, only going 8-12 ATS.
Two seasons removed from that Super Bowl title, the New York Giants see themselves listed as the odds-on favorite in NFC East championship futures at +162.
Plaxico Burress is gone and with him all the bad publicity surrounding the gun in the sweatpants incident, but can they replace him in the offense?
Last season the Giants were a very reliable bet going 12-4 ATS.
In the Giants' last 20 games against fellow teams from the NFC East; they are 13-7 ATS.
Dallas is listed at +240 to win the division.
Dallas went 9-7 SU and 7-9 ATS last season and with the amount of talent the Cowboys have, a similar performance won't do.
The Cowboys have been atrocious against divisional rivals, going 6-14 ATS in their last 20.
The Washington Redskins are longshots to win the division at +550.
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