Too Many NBA GM's Score Low Grades In FA Class
Basketball Betting Lines
07/09/2010 -
New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - I'm wondering how many general managers did
their homework in preparation for the greatest free agent class in NBA history,
considering how many ludicrous contracts were given out. Apparently the inmates
are running the asylum with the kind of money a number of mediocre-to-average
players are taking to the bank with their new deals.
Let's grade the significant signings up to this point.
MIAMI HEAT: Dwayne Wade, LeBron James, Chris Bosh (financials TBA)
A ten-year old could have figured out it was the right move to sign these
three, but you have to give Pat Riley credit for making it happen. Grade: A
CHICAGO BULLS: Carlos Boozer, 5 years, $75 million
This is an upgrade at the power forward position for Chicago, but with Taj
Gibson having such a good rookie year, I don't know if I would've spent this
much money on Boozer. Grade: B
ATLANTA HAWKS: Joe Johnson 6 years, $124 million
Maybe Atlanta thought it was signing Magic Johnson. Speaking of magic, it's
amazing how Joe Johnson's disappearing act in the playoffs led to a max
contract. John Salmons would have been a very viable alternative for the Hawks.
Grade: F
GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS: David Lee, 6 years, $80 million
Golden State gave up a talented young player in Anthony Randolph in the sign-
and-trade to get Lee, who puts up good numbers but doesn't really impact games.
Grade: C
MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES: Rudy Gay, 5 years, $81.6 million
Memphis finished 40-42 and failed to make the playoffs with Gay last season, so
why pay him superstar-type money? I know the Grizzlies would have faced a
public relations nightmare to let Gay walk so soon after trading Pau Gasol, but
you eventually pay the price for vastly overcompensating a player. Grade: D
MILWAUKEE BUCKS: John Salmons, 5 years, $39 million
This is clearly the steal of the free agent market so far. Salmons averaged
19.9 ppg in his 30-game stint with Milwaukee, putting up better numbers than
the likes of Paul Pierce and Rudy Gay. This is called getting a bang for your
buck, or should I say Bucks. Grade: A
BOSTON CELTICS: Paul Pierce, 4 years, $61 million; Ray Allen, 2 years, $20
million; Jermaine O'Neal, 2-years, $11.5 million
Boston might regret giving four years to Pierce, who is 33, and two years to
Allen, who will turn 35 later this month. Grade: B-
DALLAS MAVERICKS: Dirk Nowitzki, 4 years, $80 million; Brendan Haywood, 6
years, $55 million
The Nowitzki signing was a no-brainer, but giving a 30-year old role player
like Haywood a six-year deal for that kind of money makes no sense. Grade: C
NEW YORK KNICKS: Amar'e Stoudemire, 5 years, $100 million
Donnie Walsh was banking on the signing of Stoudemire leading to another big
free agent coming to the Big Apple, but the Knicks came up empty. This is too
much of an investment for someone who's not a top-10 player. Grade: C
MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES: Darko Milicic, 4 years, $20 million
This signing proves why America is the land of opportunity. Where else could
one of the biggest busts in the history of the NBA draft earn such a big pay
day? Grade: I (Ignorant and Incomprehensible)
LOS ANGELES LAKERS: Steve Blake, 4 years, $16 million
As important as Derek Fisher was in last season's playoff run to the
championship, Kobe Bryant had to guard the likes of Russell Westbrook and Rajon
Rondo. The problem with the Blake signing is he's a worse defender than Fisher,
and doesn't have his big-game resume. Grade: F
ORLANDO MAGIC: Chris Duhon, 4 years, $15 million
Orlando adds yet another player who doesn't make other players better, along
with shooting 39% for his career. Grade: D
QUICK DRIBBLES
Lance Stephenson looks like he'll be one of the big steals of the draft. The
former Cincinnati guard, who was selected with the eighth pick in the second
round and number 40 overall by the Pacers, has really stood out in the NBA's
Orlando Summer League. He's got size, athleticism, and good basketball skills
along with an excellent feel for the game and tremendous on-court confidence.
The Nets also look like they got a really good player late in the first round
in Damion James. He might even be more NBA-ready than teammate Derrick Favors,
who was picked third overall.
<< Report: Yankees close to acquiring Lee
New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The New York Yankees are reportedly close to
acquiring pitcher Cliff Lee from the Seattle Mariners.
According to the New York Post, the Yankees would send prized catching
prospect Jesus Montero to Se
<< Modell: Cleveland fans will 'carry on' post-James
CLEVELAND (AP) -LeBron James' decision to abandon Cleveland is drawing comparisons to Art Modell. But the man who moved the Browns to Baltimore in 1995 says the situations are different.Modell tells Cleveland radio station WTAM that ``you can't equa
<< Mavs lock up C Haywood
Dallas, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Dallas Mavericks reportedly agreed to terms
with center Brendan Haywood on a multi-year contract.
According to multiple reports, the deal is worth $55 million over six years.
The 29-year-old started the 20
<< Clippers add Foye, Gomes
Los Angeles, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Los Angeles Clippers have come to terms
on contracts with forward Ryan Gomes and guard Randy Foye.
The Los Angeles Times reports Foye's deal is for two years and more than $8
million. Gomes' deal is
<< Report: Heat clear more cap space, send Beasley to Minnesota
Miami, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Miami Heat have apparently sent the No. 2
overall pick in the 2008 NBA Draft, Michael Beasley, to the Minnesota
Timberwolves for a 2011 second-round pick and a swap of future first-round
picks.
Calling Canuck fans everywhere >>
Toronto, Canada (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The word "frenzy" is often used to describe
the NHL's free agency period, but sitting here today on July 9th, the word
"flop" might be more appropriate in describing the excitement level amongst
hockey fans.
Coroner: Turpin died of self-inflicted gunshot >>
LEXINGTON, Ky. (AP) -A coroner's report says former Kentucky basketball star Melvin Turpin died of a self-inflicted gunshot wound.The report Friday gave no other information about the investigation, including whether Turpin left a suicide note. Faye
Bruins sign Stuart to one-year deal >>
Boston, MA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Boston Bruins have signed defenseman Mark
Stuart to a one-year contract.
Financial terms were not disclosed.
Stuart has spent his entire career with the Bruins, who made the Rochester,
Minnesota nat
Record crowd watched Clijsters beat Serena >>
Brussels, Belgium (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The largest crowd to ever watch a tennis
match saw Belgian Kim Clijsters beat Wimbledon champion Serena Williams in an
exhibition bout Thursday in Brussels.
The former world No. 1 Clijsters topped the c
2010 FBS Positional Analysis: Tight Ends >>
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The collegiate tight end has traditionally
received little-to-no fanfare, except for the truly exceptional in that
category. However, the position remains a quarterback's best friend. Whether it
is serving as
NFL Football Betting Online
Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?
I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.
Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.
There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.
Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.
For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.
A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.
The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.
Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.
So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.
Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.
“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.
Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.
“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.
It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.
Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.
The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.
“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.
“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”
Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.
The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.
“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”
Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?
“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”
Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.
Big East Conference odds
Work left to do: Villanova, Syracuse, DePaul, West Virginia, Providence
Notre Dame and Louisville appear to have done enough to make the move, so we'll make them locks. The Cardinals, despite a modest RPI, are trending way up and have clinched at least a tie for third in the Big East, which should be more than enough with their pair of big road wins. Villanova got back to .500 and gets back to more solid footing. Syracuse got a very important road win and crippled a fellow contender in the process. West Virginia's fate could be in its hands Tuesday at Pitt.
Work left to do:
Villanova [18-9 (7-7), RPI: 21, SOS: 5] Pounded Rutgers to get back to .500. If Cats can get their last two (at UConn, vs. Syracuse), that should be enough with strong computer numbers and a host of wins away from The Pavilion. The Cats have beaten Texas and swept the Big 5 (never easy in Philly), but have a couple of losses to bubble teams (Xavier, Drexel), too. I still think they'll be OK, possibly even at 8-8.
Syracuse [20-8 (9-5), RPI: 53, SOS: 62] History says 10 wins will be plenty, but it might be hard for the Orange to get that last one with a final two vs. G'town, which is trying to win the league title, and at Villanova, which will be desperate for a W. The relative lack of nonconference heft and the weak computer numbers are still concerns, but the Orange have won four in a row and got a very, very big win at Providence on Saturday.
DePaul [16-12 (8-7), RPI: 54, SOS: 18] Beat Cincy and should get past South Florida to get to 9-7, but then what? They have beaten Kansas and Cal (right after the DeVon Hardin injury) earlier this season, but also have lost to Bradley and Purdue, among others. They'll likely need a couple of BE tourney wins, too, but we'll see ...
West Virginia [19-7 (8-6), RPI: 58, SOS: 125] The game at Pitt on Tuesday night could decide the Mountaineers' fate (barring a deep tournament run). They can still get to 9-7 in the Big East without it by beating Cincinnati, but the nine wins would be against UConn, Villanova, St. John's, South Florida, DePaul, Rutgers, Seton Hall twice and the Bearcats. Beating bubble foes is fine, but where's the beef? Outside of beating PG-less UCLA in nonconference play (still a top quality win), there's not a lot to fall back on (besides maybe NC State). WVU vs. Syracuse would be an interesting debate, as the teams don't play in the Big East regular season. WVU has the best win, but Cuse has played the much better schedule.
Providence [17-10 (7-7), RPI: 70, SOS: 33] The Friars likely saw their at-large hopes die at home in the four-point loss to Syracuse, barring an unexpected run to the Big East semis or more. The RPI, bad already, won't be helped by playing St. John's and South Florida in the final two league games.
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